The suspicious “tight” movements .. Do you ignite the tartal promise between Ethiopia and Sudan?

Report- Hashem Abdel-Fattah- From time to time the tensions are renewed on the border strip between Sudan, Ethiopia, specifically at the (Al-Fasha) area with testicular agricultural lands, and it was nominated during the past days that the Ethiopian army forces have penetrated into the lands of the foster, which raised the concern of citizens in particular.

Leaders of the East had warned of these repeated Ethiopian attempts, perhaps to impose a new reality on the ground, using armed militias and soft settlement tools, in light of an official silence that raises concern. For more clarifications and analyzes, we presented this issue to a number of military experts and political observers of this scene.

Have Ethiopian forces deployed in the foster?

At the beginning of Al -Nour, Ahmed Al -Nour, the journalist writer, a political analyst (to forgive News) and believes that all the information nominated with the deployment of Ethiopian forces is not accurate and has not yet confirmed that these forces are official forces, and always at the beginning of the fall, the forces affiliated with some regions, especially the Amhara region (for example, the Fanu militia) to protect farmers who are planted in Sudanese lands and try to expand either by rent or by force and thus the spread of these forces on the border The Ethiopian Sudanese comes in anticipation of the fall chapter, where many farmers enter either with rent or agriculture in areas close to the border and these tribal and regional militias protect these farmers and this is not new but for more than three decades.

Ethiopia is preoccupied with tensions with Eritrea

Therefore, as Professor Al -Nour believes, there is no decision from the Ethiopian government to deploy forces on the Sudanese border, especially since Ethiopia is now preoccupied with tensions with Eritrea and can lead to an escalation of a special war in the Al -Taraqi region. To that, he talks about the necessity of stability in neighboring countries such as Somalia, Sudan and Veritia, and he wants friendship and cooperation with these countries. Wars are not a picnic. If Ethiopia wants to open a war at this stage with Sudan and exploit its preoccupation with another war, it is in practice that it will not be able to tensions with Eritrea in the Al -Qadri region.

There is no disagreement on (the foster)

As for the nature of the situation in the Al -Fasha region, there is no dispute that these lands are Sudanese, but the delay of the status of the signs led to the fact that the intervention of these militias through the rent or the transplantation of the lands by force, especially since they were not exploited by Sudan, but that some Sudanese rented their lands to Ethiopians and therefore there are errors from the Gedaref government and the federal government, so it was supposed to prevent the rent of these lands to Ethiopian farmers so that they would not expand It does not become a place of conflict.

Exclusion of the military escalation

Professor Al -Nour said that the situation in Sudan does not allow an escalation with Ethiopia in terms of setting border marks and these conditions must be resolved after the war so that Ethiopia does not take advantage of the state of security liquidity and tensions in Sudan and it knows that Ethiopia does not have wide and flat lands as it is now in (Al -Fisha). Another regional, the UAE, for example, wanted to be a company, but unfortunately the Emirati offering did not find a response from the Sudanese government because it is an unfair proposal.

Ethiopian tensions (internal)

It also spoke (to forgive News), Major General Dr. Amin Ismail Majzoub, an expert in crisis management and negotiation at the Strategic Research Center, saying: The fact that Ethiopia is now suffering internally from some tensions. Ethiopia, especially with regard to the operation of the Renaissance Dam, and therefore it needs fertile lands, and there is no behind and in front of the dam any fertile lands for agriculture and therefore has no choice but to raise the file of the metaphor again, as it seems clear that Ethiopia has a crisis with Sudan and wants to pressure it more by provoking the issue of the metaphor to obtain open supply lines, also allowing farmers to enter the apartment in the autumn season and work to stabilize the group that entails the ruling Ethiopia in the Al -Fashaq region, and for this reason this renewed crisis has become a source of place for Sudan in more than once, especially in 2015 and in the year 2005 in an attempt to find a final solution to this crisis, but it is clear that Ethiopia has an integrated project through these steps .. Emptying internal concerns and obtaining open economic support and also an essential dilemma of Ethiopia appeared, which is control of sesame and what is known as the gum gum belt that extends close to The fiscal, and thus Ethiopia has become the top of the sesame and gum Arabic, and therefore it presses the monopoly of these products on behalf of the Sudanese people

Searching for a marine outlet ..!

The second thing, according to Al -Prov, is to pressure Sudan until a sea outlet is opened, as Ethiopia was unable to obtain a sea outlet with Eritrea and even fear the war with Eritrea and try to pressure Sudan until it is given a space on the Red Sea as the closest and most secure to communicate its needs through the Gedaref region of Port Sudan.

Dr. Amin indicated that there are no external dimensions for this Ethiopian expansion and nor coordination with the crisis or even Emirati ambitions in the Al -Fashaqa region, Ethiopia, which does not want to enter into this matter directly.

Sudanese warnings ..!

As for the reactions of this Ethiopian expansion in the intercession, it appears that the Sudanese government is busy with its war with the militia and therefore it does not want to open a new front and does not give the militia the opportunity to infiltrate again from the Ethiopian side, but the government has worked to secure many areas south of the Blue Nile and this is something in my strategic and logical appreciation, as well as the Sudanese government does not want any conflict with Ethiopia that fails the truce that has taken place for years, given Economic and popular relations are greater than that there is a conflict in the intercession and therefore this calm (and cooling) that the Sudanese government is logical and acceptable, but if Ethiopia exceeds the red lines, Sudan has a commitment with Egypt and therefore the conditions will not be stabilized for the benefit of Ethiopia, this is a very large red line, and the other red line is an attempt to settle the Ethiopians within the bond, and the other red line is an attempt to settle the Ethiopians within the intercession that can accept them. Sudan as workers or farmers, but settlement is rejected and is considered a red line, as well as Ethiopia does not want to enter with Sudan in a conflict and has no possibilities for that, and I think that any conflict with Sudan will be in favor of Eritrea Ethiopia has now headed towards Somalia and the Sudanese government is now arranging in its conditions and looking at the observer’s eye, but it may interfere in time if Ethiopia exceeds the red lines

In the same context, His Excellency Major General Abdel -Ati Haroun, the military expert, indicated that the land of fertile shirts and rainfall in a fall season, encourages a lot in the cultivation of a number of crops such as corn, sesame and sunflower others

And that Al -Ahbash does not have enough lands for agriculture, and we know that there is a so -called (the forces of the lips) that remained attacking farmers in those areas and looting their crops at the time of the harvest, but this (the lips) when he learned that there are no Sudanese or weak forces, and they would be on the ground and cultivated them in their favor, and this is what actually happened, so they were able to seize these areas for a long time, until the armed forces recovered by the armed forces in the year 2020, despite the skirmishes that were taking place from time to time.

But with the beginning of the fall season this year, the Ethiopians began cleaning some lands in those areas in preparation for their cultivation, which will create frictions between them and the Sudanese farmers .. But the Sudanese forces in that region are able to prevent infringement on them .. or entering with the Ethiopian farmers in treating the two parties in this year specifically ..

His Excellency Major General Haroun said that the deployment of the Ethiopian army in the fall season in the Al -Fashaq area is intended to provide protection for their farmers from attacking them and expelled them by the Sudanese forces, and therefore their deployment does not mean hostile acts against the Sudanese armed forces.

It seems that Ethiopia considers the land of the fancy part of its territory, and for this its strategic thinking is to seize it one day, even though the colonizer has set the borders between the internationals, but the lack of supplement to the ground marks on them made them covet them

Quoted from the tolerance of News